Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.102729 0.120685 0.140752 0.164828 0.192920 0.224655 0.263223
2025-12-07 0.075739 0.098734 0.127109 0.164650 0.212977 0.273065 0.353444
2025-12-14 0.058578 0.082672 0.114733 0.160418 0.223763 0.308420 0.430120
2025-12-21 0.048244 0.072697 0.107319 0.159756 0.237021 0.346549 0.513515
2025-12-28 0.042406 0.067621 0.105287 0.165407 0.258742 0.397895 0.620933
2026-01-04 0.038024 0.063787 0.104156 0.171681 0.281501 0.452735 0.739672
2026-01-11 0.034034 0.059811 0.102013 0.175694 0.300720 0.503786 0.858113
2026-01-18 0.030130 0.055300 0.098227 0.176225 0.313898 0.546133 0.966830
2026-01-25 0.025900 0.049539 0.091450 0.170537 0.315438 0.568762 1.044175
2026-02-01 0.022116 0.043998 0.084252 0.162992 0.312455 0.582753 1.107273
2026-02-08 0.019484 0.040229 0.079743 0.159700 0.316609 0.609544 1.196110
2026-02-15 0.017123 0.036638 0.075073 0.155413 0.318178 0.631425 1.277737
2026-02-22 0.015663 0.034810 0.073881 0.158410 0.335539 0.687558 1.437210
2026-03-01 0.014021 0.032368 0.071164 0.158037 0.346318 0.732687 1.581841
2026-03-08 0.012284 0.029435 0.066982 0.153941 0.348705 0.761048 1.695515
2026-03-15 0.011056 0.027453 0.064561 0.153300 0.358369 0.805596 1.849054
2026-03-22 0.010406 0.026722 0.064821 0.158727 0.382218 0.883396 2.085136
2026-03-29 0.009852 0.026134 0.065317 0.164753 0.408206 0.968969 2.349343
2026-04-05 0.009215 0.025234 0.064939 0.168607 0.429539 1.046455 2.604368
2026-04-12 0.008459 0.023901 0.063306 0.169117 0.442780 1.106599 2.825526
2026-04-19 0.007490 0.021840 0.059541 0.163654 0.440337 1.128866 2.956916
2026-04-26 0.006558 0.019726 0.055330 0.156407 0.432308 1.136384 3.052219
2026-05-03 0.005908 0.018308 0.052773 0.153245 0.434605 1.170091 3.218922